I have concluded that the insurgents in Libya do NOT have the capability of destroying the regime of MQ [his name seems to have many spellings so use this identifier]!
The choice is now protracted Civil War or US intervention. First, IMO the US has long demonstrated it cares not about civil war internal to the Middle East or the Mahgreb [essentially land west of the Atlas mountains] with the outstanding exception of Saudi Arabia. The Saudis are reported to be actively involved in Bahrein on the side of the King and the royal family. US of course has no interest in supporting a Shia majority population (70%) against the Sunni royals. The problem of course is that in 1971 the US took over from the British the large naval faciltiy there and expanded it. Home base now of the US 5th Fleet! US official sources have downplayed the importance of that base but IMO official disinformation.
So while time will tell it is my belief that the US will choose civil war over power projection in Libya. And have no doubt that only the US can muster assets that might determine the outcome of the situation. More to follow.
And from DoD: