Okay here goes! By Labor Day [not Memorial Day] the following events will have occurred forcing speculation about what has been accomplished since 9/11/01 and the prospects for the Obama Administration should they get a second term! No insider knowledge claimed.
First! By Labor Day the Republican Presidential field will be set. And Ron Paul and Tim Pawlenty will not be on the Republican ticket but perhaps the TP ticket.
Second! The Iraqi government will NOT ask the USA to stay around so the military withdrawal will be accomplished but still unknown is extent of USA mission post withdrawal of combat forces. This of course will lead to civil war in Iraq throughout next years USA Presidential election allowing the spear throwers for each party to try and pin the tale on the donkey. And notice the new catchword is MENA standing for Middle East and N. Africa. By Labor Day MQ will have departed Libya, SALEH will have departed Yemen, and ASSAD will have departed Syria. And the so-called Arab Spring will have ended. No further changes in current leadership will occur. The Presidential election in Egypt will be scheduled. No change in Bahrein, Jordan, Morrocco, Algeria, Egypt, any of the Gulf Shiekdoms, and Kuwait, and certainly not Saudi Arabia. USA policy towards Israel will continue as before. And the USA will call it quits for Afghanistan but after 2016!
Third! All world wide will understand that for the very first time a nation-state of some size and importance has faced a catastrophe that will change its people, its politics, and its economy forever!
Fourth! Housing sales both residential and multifamily will have collapsed further both new and resale. The Obama Administration will have announced its intent to merge FANNIE MAE, FREDDIE MAC, and FHA. The rest of HUD will be headed elsewhere.
FIFTH! The consensus will have formed that DHS has not worked out as intended. Thus, a potential free-for-all for reorganization will be proposed but not happen until the next administration.
Sixth: At least 20 major books and articles on the decade following 9/11/01 in the USA will appear after the 4th of July. Some will be devastating to those who made policy after 9/10/01 and even now.
Seventh: Still looking good for four Cabinet resignations by Labor Day!
Eighth: Wikileaks will have helped Ron Paul to destroy the fiction that the FED knows what it is doing–especially about energy issues and housing.
Ninth: China and Taiwan will be removed from issues over which the US will have some sway.
Tenth: Gas prices domestically will be over $5.50 per gal.
Hey you heard it here first. Guesses of course.